Assignments: Mar 24th, 2026
Problem 1.
Prove: For any two probabilities
\mathbb{P}[G{n,p1} \in \mathcal{Q}] \leq \mathbb{P}[G{n,p2} \in \mathcal{Q}].
\mathbb{P}[Ze = 1] &= \mathbb{P}[Xe = 1 \text{ or } Ye = 1] \ &= 1 - \mathbb{P}[Xe = 0]\mathbb{P}[Ye = 0] \ &= 1 - (1-p1)\left(1 - \frac{p2 - p1}{1 - p1}\right) \ &= 1 - (1-p1)\cdot\frac{1 - p1 - (p2 - p1)}{1 - p1} \ &= 1 - (1 - p2) = p2.
\mathbb{P}[G1 \in \mathcal{Q}] = \mathbb{E}[\mathbf{1}{{G1 \in \mathcal{Q}}}] \leq \mathbb{E}[\mathbf{1}{{G2 \in \mathcal{Q}}}] = \mathbb{P}[G2 \in \mathcal{Q}].
\mathbb{P}[G{n,p1} \in \mathcal{Q}] \leq \mathbb{P}[G{n,p2} \in \mathcal{Q}]
\mathbb{E}[Xn] = \binom{n}{3} pn^3 = \frac{n(n-1)(n-2)}{6} pn^3 \sim \frac{n^3 pn^3}{6}.
\mathbb{P}[Xn = 0] \leq \frac{\text{Var}(Xn)}{(\mathbb{E}[X_n])^2},
\text{Var}(Xn) = \sum{i=1}^m \text{Var}(Ii) + \sum{i \neq j} \text{Cov}(Ii, Ij).
\text{Var}(Xn) \leq \mathbb{E}[Xn] + O(n^4 pn^5) = O(n^3 pn^3 + n^4 p_n^5).
\frac{\text{Var}(Xn)}{(\mathbb{E}[Xn])^2} \leq \frac{O(n^3 pn^3 + n^4 pn^5)}{(n^3 pn^3)^2} = O\left(\frac{1}{n^3 pn^3} + \frac{1}{n^2 p_n}\right).
\mathbb{P}[G{n,pn} \text{ contains a triangle}] \to \begin{cases} 0 & \text{if } pn \ll 1/n, \[0.5em] 1 & \text{if } pn \gg 1/n. \end{cases}
∎
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